In an interview with Gastech News, Mr Theo Lekatompessy, President Director of PT Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi, discusses the possibilities of LNG winning over coal in the Asian markets, the use of the resource for transportation and the barriers to small scale LNG, which are however an obstacle to the sector as a whole.
Gastech News: Can LNG win over coal in Asia?
Theo Lekatompessy: Yes, in my opinion – due to 3 factors;
- Buyer side: The pressure of establishing clean energy coming from NGO environmentalists follows the claim that natural gas is safer and cleaner, added to which, society is gaining influence and starting to impact the policy for some Asian countries such as Thailand.
- Seller side: Coal handling the same MMBTU or KCal coal is more complicated as compared to natural gas – this automatically limits the growth of supply.
- Supply and demand side: There are two different clusters of players; within two different classes. The producer/exporter and buyer/ importer of natural gas are mostly a group of developed and rich countries which have greater influence at the stage of international trade in comparison to the group of producer/exporter and buyer/ importer of coal which come from more emerging countries.
- Building top down infrastructure to create an integrated connection
- The National Policy of Energy subsidy, which impacts how much the price of LNG is at the end-user level after government subsidy, and considering whether it is more attractive than fuel oil and ethanol
- Is it compulsory regulation/law?
- Who pays the conversion cost? Would it be a bank loan?
- Is there any long-term guaranteed supply of LNG from the global market/government to users after they do the conversion at the competitive price (in comparison to fuel oil)?
- Guarantee of supply; is there any long-term guaranteed supply for national consumption? In the case of the 3 biggest exporters in Asia, such as Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei – nowadays most of their LNG is for export (to fill national reserve and finance national budget) and not for the domestic market
- Infrastructure; is there sufficient top-down arrangements and sufficient infrastructure coverage to support a national/regional LNG supply chain, which in the downstream sector will provide the small-mid scale LNG facility?
- Price issue for retail, is the government subsidy or market magnitude offering a competitive price for LNG compared to other fuel sources per MMBTU?